ORANGE PRODUCTION STUDY: DETECTION OF REGIONAL FEATURES WITH SHIFT -SHARE OF MODELS AND DERIVATIVE IN NORTHERN REGION

Abstract

ABSTRACT: The Orange (Citrus sinensis (L.) Osbeck) is one of the main crops of interest for Brazil, since this one holds great part of the world production, the North region has as largest producer the state of Pará that is responsible for 2% of the national production and the main municipality responsible for this production is Capitão Poço. Based on this, the objective of this study was to evaluate the development of different sectors linked to orange production, comparing it with the national production through the shift-share analysis to evaluate the development in the years of 1990-2014 and then applied the mathematical model derived with the objective of analyzing non-comparative numbers in order to base the analysis. After all the process we can infer the instability in the production of orange and that the low technological level directly influences the production, because it makes it occupy more areas and does not increase the production.KEYWORDS: Citrus sinensis, economy, production.